🏛️🧨 Important Monday update for @TNTCapitalC community. A key announcement with implications for investors and the broader market. Hoping you will continue to stay ahead this year.
This will be pinned as a highlight because it addresses several critical issues that could shape your financial future over the next few years. (If you believe our analysis is correct), it may ultimately be remembered as one of our five most important posts of 2026.
1/ Do not buy ANSEM above $0.02 (today’s price is above $0.2).
2/ Do not buy SOL above $78 (ever).
3/ Do not buy Gold above $4,100 (ever).
4/ Do not buy BTC above $64K this cycle.
2x short only for now.
Unless you genuinely want to commit financial self-sabotage and willingly destroy your capital. This is genuinely Seppuku (切腹).
We’re also going to address several other important topics, including the impact CT influencers have had on the crypto space over the last 10 years and why CZ and Binance won the exchange war, largely thanks to Twitter and social media.
🔃Crypto already fired the warning shot.
$BTC at $62,500 for a few more minutes, most likely, friends.
This could very well the last time we consolidate at this level this year. Not trying to sound dramatic, but the probability is increasing, especially after the forced MM rejections over the last 48 hours at 64k.
We were supposed to spend a week or two at those levels, but it’s now been six weeks. This is really bad.
Pumping the way we did. This is so bearish. Most people don't understand how bearish that is.
Exit pumps like this are very bearish, they are not bullish at all.
Those rejections were completely unnecessary unless this was more than just a double local top, potentially the final top.
Obviously this is unpopular, everyone waiting for BTC to go back up, so that they can become rich again.
And this is a scenario that no one else is discussing on X, except @CryptoCon_ (He recently talked about the possibility of BTC failing this cycle.)
This is not our preferred scenario, and it’s not what we want to see. But from here, caution is warranted. Something is happening on the MM side, and it doesn’t look good.
Before we dive deep into this, let's discuss something else:
@IncomeSharks used to be a crypto influencer. Now he’s spending his days shilling AI stocks. We’re not even following him anymore. The man tagging us and bringing up the fact that CT influencers can't impact Gold prices.
He is completely convinced of this. That CT influencers have 0 impact on Gold, 0 impact on Bitcoin, 0 impact on $ANSEM?
Actually, collectively, CT influencers have a level of reach and influence among retail investors that far exceeds that of traditional institutions like Goldman Sachs.
That's why Binance and CZ became so successful in the first place, capturing market share from nearly every competitor. They understood the importance of social media and communication when everyone else failed to.
Why CZ and Binance Won the Exchange War?
Binance did not become the world’s largest crypto exchange only because of technology or fees. A major part of its success came from the way CZ positioned himself as an influencer and the company around retail users. While many competitors focused on building a more traditional financial platform, Binance focused on building a healthy community first.
CZ was one of the first crypto exchange CEOs in 2017–2018 to adopt a true retail-first approach. He was highly accessible, constantly communicating with users on Twitter, genuinely answering questions and tweeting all day, engaging with the community on all other social media. Back then, he was personally tweeting and interacting with traders directly, long before Binance had a large PR team. Many people in 2017-2018 were actually getting a replied from CZ directly on X, even if you had 5 followers. There were also AMAs on Telegram.
This was a different time. X was also not as big as it is now.
This approach was fundamentally different from many competitors. CEOs of exchanges such as Bittrex, Poloniex, and HitBTC were largely invisible to retail users. CEOs less approachable, not communicating personally on X themselves. They were offering good services, but had small community. Their strategy was closer to traditional finance: build a professional trading platform and assume institutional and experienced traders would eventually move into crypto. However, that assumption proved wrong. At the time, many of our friends in banking and consulting were still skeptical of crypto, CZ was very good at capturing people/ retail users who were discovering trading for the first time (who had never traded a stock in their lives). CZ spent a lot of time educating people. He genuinely tried to be a bridge between the crypto industry and the wider community. And he became a crypto influencer in the process.
In fact, we could probably argue that today, 50% of Binance users, have never traded a stock in their lives, even today.
Once again, CZ understood all of that, he understood something important: crypto was not just an asset class; it was also a community movement. He spent significant time doing AMAs, attending community events, and building trust through direct communication. He became not only an exchange CEO but also one of the first major Exchange CEO Crypto Twitter (CT) personalities.
This personal connection helped Binance attract millions of users who were new to trading. CZ made crypto feel accessible, simple, and exciting for a new generation of investors. But it all started with him being available on Social medias, and in early days, using his influences also to pump some tokens. (which he doesn't do anymore for obvious reasons).
What @blknoiz06 is doing right now, CZ has done many times before with low-market-cap coins. Some people loved CZ for promoting their bags, while others hated him for making them FOMO in at the top.
If you've joined crypto this cycle, you may be surprised to read this. Because you wouldn't picture CZ promoting a low cap. But back in the days, it was a normal day at the office. And frankly, CZ did nothing wrong, because he has brought many new people into crypto. And frankly, all of them had the opportunity to buy BNB as well between $1-20 (price for many years).
CZ was the king of all influencers back then, and anyone following him, in the big scheme of things, could have made a considerable amount of money. By using a macro approach, and a bit of critical thinking.
Once again, Let's summarize one more time:
Four reasons Binance and CZ became number one:
1. Public figure influence and community trust
CZ became a trusted face of crypto. His constant communication with users on Twitter and Telegram created loyalty that competitors lacked. During Binance’s first major hack in 2019, CZ’s public handling of the situation and decision to fully compensate affected users strengthened confidence in the platform. It's always been about trust. And today everyone trust CZ.
2. Lower fees and aggressive retail pricing
Many exchanges at the time were built with a tradFi mindset and charged fees that felt expensive to everyday users, but normal in TradFi for instance. Binance entered with extremely competitive fees and focused on making trading accessible to everyone, rather than make big money from fee. This aligned with the expectations of retail traders rather than professional financial institutions.
3. Wider coin selection and faster listings
Binance quickly became the place where users could discover and trade new cryptocurrencies, especially the new narratives and the coins with hype. While older exchanges were more selective with listings, listing boring projects only. Binance moved aggressively and offered a much wider range of coins and trading pairs. This attracted traders looking for new opportunities and created a powerful network effect.
4. Better user experience built around trust
Binance focused heavily on making crypto trading simple and accessible. The platform was designed for everyday users, not only experienced traders. The trust created by CZ’s communication style reinforced the overall user experience: people felt they were using a platform run by people who understood and listened to them. And by someone who understand crypto and what people wanted to trade.
Ultimately, Binance won because CZ understood the crypto market better than many competitors. Other exchanges tried to replicate traditional finance; Binance embraced the culture, community, and retail users that defined crypto’s early growth. A lot of new capital was brought into crypto.
Now let's focus back on $ANSEM
Can @blknoiz06 contribute to trap retail users and convince them to buy SOL at $80, promising them that SOL summer is coming soon and that SOL will soon reach $500, can he continue to encourage aggressively everyone to buy more ANSEM tokens above $0.2, and more XAUUST above $4,100?
Absolutely. In fact, he could probably, by his own words, lead 50,000 people to buy more ANSEM/SOL/Gold at those prices. Does it mean he will move the price up overnight? But he could potentially trap liquidity, his words matter and people will follow his words, especially when he talks with conviction. Especially when it comes to his promise that soon ANSEM will trade at $10.
Will he refund them if something go wrong? No
Does he has BNB as a protection to help people achieve 1,000x, even if his meme go wrong? No
$ANSEM coin trading $60M in daily volume is a case study in modern market dynamics.
The source of liquidity isn’t just fundamentals, it’s trust, narrative, and distribution. One person’s credibility can become a measurable market force. First in meme, then in other areas.
Now scale that across 20 CT influencers operating at ANSEM’s level.
You’re no longer looking at a single voice, you’re looking at a potential $1B+ (60*20) market impact engine powered by attention, trust, and narrative liquidity.
If 100 CT influencers coordinate their actions. $5B+ potential impact.
Obviously those numbers are inflated, but you get the point.
$ANSEM just dumped to $0.18%, down 32% in less than 12 hours 2 days ago, on a 60M volume, that's an insane dump. Dropping even faster than $MANIFEST and it still looks massively overextended. There is often a meme coin to distract retail before a major BTC dump. Meanwhile, @blknoiz06 shilling ANSEM to $10 and using his influence to farm the gold community.
Impression is that he probably doesn't owned any physical or digital gold himself. This comes across more like commentary from the sidelines than someone with real market exposure or risk on the book. But could be wrong, just an opinion.
CZ had less than 250k followers back in the day, and he was moving mountains. @blknoiz06 has 1.1M followers. Of course his opinion on Gold matters. Of course most people will follow his words and confidently accumulate more Gold at $4,100.
Especially when he says he is very bullish on Gold and that the chart looks really good.
Once again, re ANSEM
This is not 2017 anymore
If @blknoiz06 were being honest with the $ANSEM community, reminding everyone that meme investments carry significant risks, that people should only invest what they can afford to lose, and that the price can move in either direction, we would understand. This would be healthier for the space overall.
On average, most people lose money in meme trading, often substantially, and the broader meme coin market has seen massive retracements (typically 70-95%+ from peaks for most tokens). In Bull Run...
In a bear market, those retracements are even more important.
But instead, @blknoiz06 is on an absolute shilling spree, relentlessly promoting it while ignoring the downside risks. Many people could end up losing their life savings because of it. (BNB is not trading at 3 dollars anymore, those who lose money this cycle, may lose it permanently). Not the OG crypto guys, they've been there. They got burnt with NFT and meme before. But those in their first or second crypto cycle are getting baited hard. They don't remember DeepBrain Chain (DBC) Oyster Pearl (PRL)
They also forgot about people talking to them about Paycoin (XPY) and NXT (NXT)
Saylor saving us all... ETF outflows... Gold available on Binance...Then SPCX IPO euphoria. Now it's X madness with ANSEM... History often repeats itself. The names, faces, and narratives change, but human behavior remains the same. Especially when it comes to Twitter and Telegram retail. And when it comes to new joiners going through their first crypto cycles.
Gold has dropped 25% in a few months only, currently topping out at $4K, and currently setting up for a disorderly move back toward the $3K area in July as we predicted earlier this year.
Perma-bull influencers like Muro are trying to short $BTC as a "hedge", entering at $62K with a stop loss at $63K. You're either a shorter or a longer, you can't excel at both.
Considering how difficult it is to be good at either in the first place, most people struggle with even one.. By itself, this should have been a clear indication that more traps were on the way.
Killa says that BTC is soon going to 170k
Yesterday, he said that BTC was going to $65K soon, using the words “with certainty.” That’s exactly what he said.
Are we now trading setups based on “certainty” variables?
A few hours after his post, BTC started to dump. While Killa is still long.
Despite more than 200 CT influencers pushing BTC, gold, and Ansem’s price thesis over the last few days, with a combined reach of at least 100 million users worldwide, BTC has once again failed to move on the daily timeframe.
Which shows a considerable amount of absorption. Who is selling then?
The big move toward low 40K is coming. And everyone part of TNT knows that. This is only the beginning. This is not the end.
Is it a very very slow transition? Yes
BTC 6 weeks without moving.
Is it frustrating? Yes
Is it boring? Yes
During that time, $TAO continues to drop like a shitcoin also. Really? Why?
We wrote 3 very long articles to warn you all last year and earlier this year.
Today, everyone has accepted it. But three months ago, we were called fools for questioning AI narrative and for macro shorting TAO at the local top. TAO has dumped another 50% since, that's huge. TAO was supposed to be the next Bitcoin, with "similar" supply dynamics.
Now everyone quiet. As if nothing happened...
Re BTC, All TA indicators showed that $63.2K was the local top on Friday. Yet manipulation pushed another exit pump to $64.3K and consolidation between 64k and 64k.3 before BTC dropping like a shitcoin, again... Still waiting for a reaction in the structural bid zone.
The more BTC pumped and dumped between 63k and 64k, the more people started to think BTC is soon going to 65-70k.
It works every time. Even the bears begin to question their own conviction. Closed their shorts. Without any reason.
Anyone who thinks $BTC going from $62K to $64K is bullish has a serious problem understanding market dynamics. Also probably running on the free trial version of critical thinking.
They can keep doing this all day long, like bouncing between SPX 7,300 and 7,550 as many times as they want. We're still trading within the exact same range. The fun starts when we finally break out of it.
There is no such thing as confirmation or acceptance. Most of the time, they are just traps, the same traps that catch the same participants repeatedly.
Killa is living proof of this, a trader with 7 years of experience who went long on BTC at $65K, targeting $170K.
Then imagine what people in their first cycle are currently doing?
And once again, there is no reason to believe that will change.
People like @RektProof are really good with range trading for instance.
We're very good at trading range breakouts and identifying the macro direction, tops and bottoms.
Decent critical thinkers. Good at dissecting alpha and separating signal from noise.
What do you think happens next? After MM force rejections after rejections. And retail becomes bullish again. Even Killa went from shorting to change his plan mid range and started longing.
The bigger the pump, the bigger the dump. Always.
Sometimes obviously wonder why not simply hold the safe short instead of going rogue anyway?
We've provided several clean 2x short setups, why many close their shorts too early?
It's always so hard to find a new entry and emotions come in between. Once you close the trade, always very difficult to go back in, that's why we haven't closed our trades.
Most importantly, why would anyone LONG Gold at 4k? Some people’s cognitive abilities are so advanced they can see a top and call it a breakout.
The S&P 500 has also spent six weeks pinned at the upper end of its range. Stuck. That's not strength, classic distribution. Just another day at the office for anyone who's been paying attention this year with the @TNTCapitalC community.
BTC did the same, HYPE did the same, so why don't people learn anything from past experiences?
Unless this time is different?
Our first 2x short entry at 7,615 has never been challenged, not even once. The second entry at 7,550 has been retested enough times to make weak hands doubt the setup, but seriously friends. Price never consolidated above 7,550 for more than 24 hours. Rejections after rejections.
When this resolves to the downside, it has the potential to become the largest risk-off unwind in decades.
Our X account being silenced and suspended, as if we said something we shouldn't have before.
Meanwhile and once again, $BTC has been stuck in pump-and-dump price action around $60K level for 6 weeks, as if we were still in the BitMEX days. Just this weekend, another 1k pump while we still waiting for 41k to hit this summer. This PA is getting ridiculous.
Even @bigfish3571 was frustrated.
Concurrently, on the daily or weekly timeframe, we haven't really moved at all.
Yet CT is still celebrating the highs as if we were not sitting on one of the most asymmetric downside setups in years. Everyone is closing their eyes and living in denial. It starts with CT influencers and the biggest CT accounts, who spend their days chasing attention instead of helping people make actual money during the bull to bear transition.
💌
Every time the market reaches a macro top, whether in metals, crypto, or TradFi, we send you a long message.
And write 10 additional posts explaining why, in our humble opinion, we may have reached a macro top and how investors could potentially position themselves to benefit from this environment. 🫶
Yet some bears getting bored to death, increasing their risks and are slowly starting to close their shorts and convince themselves that the bottom is in, despite there being no indication that a bottom has been reached.
Does anyone remember what the 2018 bottom looked like at $3.2k? Do you remember retesting the lows four times? Do you remember the volume?
The bear market effectively lasted almost two years. There was real fear, We were in survival mode.
Miners were fighting over network dominance. Mining profitability collapsed as BTC prices fell. Many people were questioning whether Bitcoin's economic model even could survive.
Anyway.
Only two or three OG TG accounts are worth your time when it comes to bear analysis: Cryptocon, Blockchain Whispers, and DrP. Yet DrP. is now telling everyone to buy gold and silver at current levels, as if gold were still the ultimate hedge against inflation. While he knows perfectly well that BTC is not a hedge against inflation, as he admitted himself on several occasions. And he knows about the correlation between Gold and Bitcoin.
Everyone else is acting as if everything is normal and nothing dramatic is about to happen in the financial markets.
Despite all our warnings and case studies.
But most importantly, everyone is acting as if nothing has already happened in the financial markets this year.
"The trade everyone agrees on is often the one that hurts the most."
Consensus kills ROI and kills PnL.
If anyone wants to prove us wrong on gold, it’s simple: show us gold at $4,200 this year, and we’ll apologize.
But we’re willing to bet you won’t be able to.
Re BTC, once again forget about the $63K 1K pump-and-dump. Show us BTC at $66K this year, take a screenshot, and forward this message to us. We’ll publicly revisit our entire bear thesis, along with our SMC/TGR framework, write us your wallet, we will send you some money.
Do we need to repeat this message, or do you understand its implications?
Last note on @IncomeSharks, why does he even bother tagging us?
Bro went from CT to AI stock influencer so fast, even his portfolio needed a software update. His bags changed careers before he did.
Now he is trapping retail on Gold at $4,100. This is really terrible guys. Gold at $4,100 is like BTC at $110,000.
We've explained this many times. It's important that you take this message seriously and sell your gold now. You'll have the opportunity to buy it back at prices that are difficult to imagine today.
Most of you haven't spent years as gold maximalists the way we have, which is why this may seem counterintuitive. Your perspective is completely understandable. And that's why we write many articles explaining the thesis, so you can make your own informed decisions.
CT influencers are not here to help you.
The Fed’s Monetary Policy Report was expected earlier this weekend, but it ultimately turned into a non-event.
Then came a series of delayed pump-and-dumps, squeezing late longs while creating doubt among shorts. But the RSI accelerated linearly without a real impulse move. That is a highly bearish setup for gold and BTC.
Let's see what the next few hours bring. We going down really fast atm.
Don't buy Gold because CT influencers with 1.1Mil followers are pushing it. It's a trap. Continue to short Gold only. Don't close your BTC shorts too early either until our first TP low 40ks. And then continue to follow the roadmap.
Gold and BTC are correlated.
Correlation = 1
Dyor.
You can still make it, you don't have to fail this cycle, you can still succeed. Don't listen to anyone trying to mislead you. Cut through the CT noise. Eliminate the distractions.
Continuing to hold gold and BTC shorts is critical.
Stick to the plan, stick to the roadmap for Q3 2026.
Be an Intelligent Investor.
Have a good day and good luck.
A pivotal week ahead.
